Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.953626 2.228591 2.530524 2.887019 3.296894 3.753928 4.302947
2025-10-05 1.630154 2.008168 2.457844 3.033661 3.753584 4.626760 5.770422
2025-10-12 1.408830 1.851429 2.414735 3.187665 4.226093 5.580562 7.493681
2025-10-19 1.216610 1.690004 2.328579 3.258896 4.589745 6.440156 9.234485
2025-10-26 1.066181 1.554806 2.248491 3.314108 4.926068 7.299226 11.105614
2025-11-02 0.911325 1.386555 2.092074 3.227610 5.032306 7.827762 12.559950
2025-11-09 0.769863 1.216001 1.905056 3.061052 4.981128 8.094129 13.626766
2025-11-16 0.684138 1.119105 1.816286 3.032494 5.138637 8.704511 15.343600
2025-11-23 0.607114 1.025395 1.718986 2.973166 5.230336 9.208494 16.942991
2025-11-30 0.576930 1.005686 1.740931 3.118706 5.695363 10.422852 20.023432
2025-12-07 0.539579 0.968382 1.726891 3.196076 6.043679 11.468271 22.944462
2025-12-14 0.493635 0.909866 1.667387 3.180021 6.210201 12.187019 25.322045
2025-12-21 0.437701 0.827825 1.557664 3.058764 6.164101 12.501141 26.958086
2025-12-28 0.419953 0.816378 1.580148 3.201613 6.673943 14.024819 31.487632
2026-01-04 0.404725 0.807967 1.607344 3.357533 7.234132 15.741225 36.772058
2026-01-11 0.382025 0.781729 1.595417 3.429004 7.620826 17.136013 41.561052
2026-01-18 0.360063 0.754387 1.577783 3.485270 7.980865 18.524384 46.595174
2026-01-25 0.327588 0.700994 1.498667 3.393051 7.981972 19.066791 49.572412
2026-02-01 0.292045 0.637021 1.389364 3.216995 7.756544 19.022541 50.984775
2026-02-08 0.271204 0.603536 1.344174 3.186646 7.885388 19.883976 55.039830
2026-02-15 0.250110 0.567226 1.288587 3.124006 7.923630 20.517756 58.574158
2026-02-22 0.245112 0.567705 1.318451 3.277285 8.545372 22.797011 67.383415
2026-03-01 0.235758 0.556824 1.320052 3.358775 8.987641 24.657863 75.313018